Texas Hold Em Poker Odds, Outs and Probabilities

What are Texas Hold Em Poker Odds, Outs and Probabilities?

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Understanding Texas Hold Em Poker odds are an important part of poker. Odds are the chances of you making a hand.

To calculate your hand odds, you need to know how many "outs" your hand has.

Outs are defined as how many cards remain in the deck that help you make your hand.

If you hold two spades and two spades come on the flop, that leaves 9 more spades in the deck, since there are 13 cards of each suit.

That means you have 9 outs to hit your flush. Remember, just because you make your hand, you don't necessarily win the pot!

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The following are some approximate odds for typical hands:

Outs	Flop %	Turn %	Drawing to...
2	8%	4%	Pocket pair to hit trips (or a set)
3	13%	7%	Single overcard draw
4	17%	9%	Gut shot, two pair to improve to a full house
5	20%	11%	One pair to improve to two pair or trips
6	24%	13%	No pair to improve to a pair
7	28%	15%	Set to improve to a full house
8	32%	17%	Open-ended straight draw
9	35%	19%	Flush draw

Probability can be figured by dividing the total outs by the remaining cards. For two cards however, it's a bit trickier. There is an easy shortcut to do this.

To figure an approximate percent to hit your hand after the flop, just multiply your outs by 4. To figure an approximate percent to hit your hand after the turn, just multiply your outs by 2.

Now that you know how to calculate Texas Hold em poker odds by using outs, you need to know what importance this has. This is where pot odds come into play.

Pot odds is simply a ratio of the amount of money in the pot compared with how much money it will take to call. If there is $50 in the pot and it takes $5 to call, your pot odds are 50:5, or 10:1. If there is $50 in the pot and it takes $10 to call, then your pot odds are 50:10 or 5:1.

The higher the ratio, the better your Texas Hold em pot odds are. 50:1 pot odds means that you must win this hand 1 out of 51 times to break even. Pot odds ratios are very useful to see how often you need to win a hand to break even.

When you compare hand odds and pot odds, you'll see the importance of them. If you have a flush draw, your hand odds for making your flush are 19% or 1.9 to 1.

Let's say you're in a hand with a nut flush draw and you need to bet $10 to call. Should you call? To make that decision, you need to know your pot odds. If your pot odds are greater than your hand odds, then you will make a profit. Calculating your hand odds and figuring your pot odds will help you make more proper decisions.

Let’s look at some more Texas Holdem Poker Odds:

You will have no Ace 85.07% of the time
If you hold suited cards a flush will flop 118 to 1
If you hold a pair, 4 of a kind will flop 407 to 1
If you have 4 parts of a flush after the flop, you will make it 1.86 to 1
If you have 4 parts of an open-end straight-flush after the flop, you will make a straight flush 10.9 to 1
Flop being all one kind 424 to 1
AK dealt pre flop and hitting an A or K by the river 8 to 5 favorite
Open Ended straight flush completing to flush or straight by river 13 to 7
Open Ended straight completing 2 to 1
Two pair on flop improving to full house 5 to 1
Three of a kind improving to full house or 4-of a kind 3 to 2
Pocket pair improving to three of a kind on flop 7 to 1
No pair hand pre flop improving to a pair on the flop 4 to 1
Pocket Pair improving to three of a kind after flop 10 to 1
Two over cards improving to a pair by river 3 to 1
5 players on flop, that someone has an Ace when one is on board 1 in 1.9
4 players on flop, that someone has an Ace when one is on board 1 in 2.1
3 players on flop, that someone has an Ace when one is on board 1 in 2.9
2 players on flop, that someone has an Ace when one is on board 1 in 4.3

Probability against These Starting Hands

2 Aces 220 to 1
Ace with less than Jack, suited 35.8 to 1
Ace with less than Jack, offsuit 11.3 to 1
Any hand with a Pair or an Ace 3.91 to 1
Pair preflop 16 to1
Suited cards preflop 3.2 to 1
Suited connectors preflop 24 to1
AA or KK preflop 110 to 1
AK preflop 82 to 1
AK suited preflop 331 to1
A in hand preflop 5.25 to 1
7 2 offsuit preflop 109 to 1

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Texas Hold em Poker Odds

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